by Ismet Azizi

State statistics of the Republic of Croatia and the Republika Srpska of Bosnia and Herzegovina (created by Dayton) show that these countries are facing serious negative rates of natural population growth. A similar trend is also being followed by the Republic of Serbia, which, together with Croatia, is considered to be the country with the largest population and is also nationally homogeneous.

A few months ago, the Serbian press wrote that the white plague is changing the demographic structure of the Balkans. By 2080, there will be more Albanians in Kosovo than Serbs in Serbia. Serbian demographers are concerned that due to Serbia’s problems with the white plague and the high birth rate of Albanians in Kosovo, Albanians will be able to “squeeze” Serbs from the south in the near future.

In terms of the number of live births and birth rates, Serbia is the last in Europe. To achieve the reproduction target, women need to have at least 2.1 children in their lifetime. Even if this were to happen, Serbia would not have positive population growth for another 20 years.

Serbia is one of the ten countries with the oldest population in the world. Serbia is the country where 30,000 more people die every year than are born. Finally, Serbia is a country with a low birth rate, and even if it wanted to, it cannot improve this situation in the next ten years.

According to Ivana Marinković, a researcher at the Center for Demography of the Institute for Social Science Research, in addition to demographic problems, Serbia will soon face economic problems. The big question is whether Serbs will be able to cope with the decline in population and the increase in the number of elderly people.

The post-World War II “baby boom” generations, born during the period when Serbia had a high growth rate, will soon enter the category of the old population, pensioners. Marinković believes that this will be a big problem in terms of economic coping.

The age structure in Serbia has long been damaged, and the average age of the population is increasing year by year. This age is currently 43 years. If this rate of natural population growth continues until 2030, Serbs will make up 50 percent of the population of Serbia. Serbia has more people older than 65 years than those younger than 15 years.

Although this country offers numerous stimulating measures to increase the birth rate, the problem is that they are not applied continuously. They are often interrupted and people do not have the necessary security for family planning – considers Marinković.

These findings are also justified by the report of the Republican Statistical Office of Serbia, which shows that only eight municipalities have a positive increase. In first place is Novi Pazar with 8.6 ‰, then Tutin (7.9), Presheva (4.5), Bujanovac (2.6), Novi Sad (1.8), Sjenica (1.4). Followed by the municipalities of Belgrade, Zvezdara (1.0) and Surcin with 0.4 ‰.

If a comparison is made, it becomes clear that in Serbia, a city the size of Jagodina disappears within a year, while in Kosovo, a small city is born. In Kosovo, more than 27,000 babies are born every year, while about 7,000 people die. Serbian demographers have emphasized that the population decline will attract the attention of the African population to emigrate to this country.

When it comes to population immigration, one thing is certain. The African continent, in terms of birth rate, is booming. These underdeveloped countries have problems with feeding their population. Therefore, since Europe is the closest continent, a large influx of people is expected to this continent.

They will first choose countries that had their colonies in Africa. But, since Western countries will not be able to accept these immigrants, according to Marinković, they will start settling in the eastern part of Europe. Marinković further adds that this is the only way to improve the situation of population growth and economic survival in Serbia.

The Serbian press does not only have a problem with the low population growth in Serbia. The Serbian press also has a problem with the growth of Albanians. In Serbia, they are very concerned about the fact that Albanians are growing, so much so that their media have also paid special attention to the population movement in Macedonia.

An article in the Serbian media a few months ago was titled “Albanians with high birth rates “invade” Macedonia”[1]. Here, great fear is expressed that Albanians will soon be the majority. But they forget the fact that if it were not for the municipalities of Sandzak (Tutin, Sjenica and N. Pazari) and those of Eastern Kosovo (Presheva and Bujanoc), almost the only municipalities with positive growth, then what position would Serbia be in?

Sources
http://www.telegrafi.com/lajme/serbet-se-shpejti-pakice-edhe-ne-serbi-26-6950.html
http://shkupi24.com/serbet-se-shpejti-pakice-edhe-ne-serbi/
http://www.kokaj.net/opinione-detale/items/serbet-se-shpejti-pakice-edhe-ne-serbi.html
http://2lonline.com/category/rrotull/article-page.php?id=7457
http://illyriapress.com/paniku-demografik-nacionalisteve-serbe/
http://www.standardi.eu/sq/Opinione/Serb%C3%ABt-s%C3%AB-shpejti-pakic%C3%AB-edhe-n%C3%AB-Serbi
http://www.mesazhi.com/mendime/serbet-se-shpejti-pakice-edhe-ne-serbi
http://www.ekonomia-ks.com/?page=1,9,369021

By /kokaj.net/